Option delta, and what it actually measures
Delta is the most quoted number on an options screen and the most misread. It answers one narrow question exactly, and four others only approximately.
StrikeViews · concepts
The calculators show you numbers. These pages explain where the numbers come from, what they leave out, and the situations in which they stop being useful. Every one of them ends with the limits rather than a recommendation.
Delta is the most quoted number on an options screen and the most misread. It answers one narrow question exactly, and four others only approximately.
A probability of profit is a single number produced by a specific model. Understanding the model is the difference between using it and being misled by it.
Theta is quoted as a daily amount, which invites the assumption that decay happens in equal daily instalments. It does not.
Selling options looks best exactly when it is most dangerous, and implied volatility is the number that explains why.
The payoff chart ends cleanly at expiration. Real positions do not — they settle through an allocation process that has its own rules and its own surprises.
A breakeven is one of the few numbers on an options screen that is arithmetic rather than an assumption. That is what makes it useful — and what makes its limits easy to state.